Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 528.074583 561.521403 596.272459 635.134930 677.455460 722.225145 773.271516
2026-02-08 487.730078 533.884261 583.739559 641.809658 707.859584 780.965438 868.439242
2026-02-15 457.620166 511.368145 571.068794 642.705018 726.865831 823.268356 943.008954
2026-02-22 434.214815 493.322515 560.474333 643.038989 742.684271 860.176752 1010.871325
2026-03-01 416.580310 480.091083 553.668554 646.085311 760.313326 898.549493 1081.114435
2026-03-08 399.411356 465.993921 544.444313 644.835990 771.561767 928.527135 1141.393786
2026-03-15 385.398890 454.681154 537.577873 645.491878 784.399805 960.242546 1204.784564
2026-03-22 372.470311 443.871732 530.504316 645.061523 795.201294 989.158285 1265.365642
2026-03-29 360.935121 434.129965 524.091452 644.798346 805.697176 1017.589675 1326.277925
2026-04-05 352.094320 427.286782 520.860776 648.206815 820.791288 1052.433956 1397.648334
2026-04-12 342.537350 419.054153 515.358159 648.128029 830.828987 1080.416633 1460.390267
2026-04-19 336.005646 414.395432 514.182722 653.567741 848.373685 1119.364236 1541.149373
2026-04-26 330.091259 410.304802 513.548421 659.623698 866.934134 1160.569120 1627.885929
2026-05-03 324.942734 406.977253 513.702225 666.605322 886.899337 1204.551499 1721.486009
2026-05-10 317.899800 400.829907 509.748963 667.545517 897.981730 1235.670420 1796.511586
2026-05-17 311.085517 394.730454 505.582327 667.896769 908.024068 1265.454932 1870.998290
2026-05-24 305.674125 390.331113 503.542918 671.101501 922.270375 1302.155601 1959.076515
2026-05-31 299.031220 384.012751 498.580184 669.787182 929.493309 1328.038683 2030.329021
2026-06-07 293.409955 378.918872 495.129578 670.477188 939.668171 1358.900895 2112.021250
2026-06-14 287.709037 373.531109 491.058237 670.024446 947.927136 1386.895596 2190.336936
2026-06-21 282.345234 368.451182 487.239822 669.747580 956.335260 1415.375752 2271.292211
2026-06-28 278.425032 365.286894 486.047363 673.333479 970.921230 1454.705355 2374.920323
2026-07-05 273.580744 360.662052 482.571922 673.250588 979.499934 1484.165448 2461.919940